{"id":15759,"date":"2026-03-10T18:50:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T18:50:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/?p=15759"},"modified":"2026-03-10T18:56:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T18:56:20","slug":"eleicoes-2026-pesquisa-mostra-flavio-bolsonaro-a-frente-de-lula-em-sp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/eleicoes-2026-pesquisa-mostra-flavio-bolsonaro-a-frente-de-lula-em-sp\/","title":{"rendered":"Elei\u00e7\u00f5es 2026: pesquisa mostra Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro \u00e0 frente de Lula em SP"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-25\">\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"2d9477d1-035c-4175-9aa4-421f23c30dcc\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-58\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-xs,calc(var(--spacing)*4))] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-sm,calc(var(--spacing)*6))] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-lg,calc(var(--spacing)*16))] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col gap-4 grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"2d9477d1-035c-4175-9aa4-421f23c30dcc\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-3\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"89\" data-end=\"304\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Uma pesquisa do instituto <strong data-start=\"115\" data-end=\"136\">Realtime Big Data<\/strong>, divulgada nesta segunda-feira (9), mostra o senador <strong data-start=\"190\" data-end=\"210\">Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> \u00e0 frente nas inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para uma eventual elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial no estado de S\u00e3o Paulo.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p data-start=\"117\" data-end=\"512\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\ud83d\udcf1 <em>Siga o O Movimento no <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/jornalomovimento\/\">Instagram<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"306\" data-end=\"528\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Segundo o levantamento, <strong data-start=\"330\" data-end=\"388\">Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece com 38% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto<\/strong>, enquanto o presidente <strong data-start=\"412\" data-end=\"441\">Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/strong>, que deve disputar a reelei\u00e7\u00e3o pelo PT, registra <strong data-start=\"491\" data-end=\"498\">34%<\/strong> entre os eleitores paulistas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-start=\"306\" data-end=\"528\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10pt;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #808080; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">= continua ap\u00f3s a publicidade =<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"306\" data-end=\"528\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-8434 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/ortobom.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"780\" height=\"235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/ortobom.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/ortobom-300x90.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"530\" data-end=\"667\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Na sequ\u00eancia aparecem o governador do Paran\u00e1, <strong data-start=\"576\" data-end=\"594\">Ratinho J\u00fanior<\/strong>, com <strong data-start=\"600\" data-end=\"606\">9%<\/strong>, e o governador de Minas Gerais, <strong data-start=\"640\" data-end=\"654\">Romeu Zema<\/strong>, com <strong data-start=\"660\" data-end=\"666\">4%<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"669\" data-end=\"824\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Ainda de acordo com a pesquisa, <strong data-start=\"701\" data-end=\"758\">5% dos entrevistados disseram votar em branco ou nulo<\/strong>, enquanto <strong data-start=\"769\" data-end=\"823\">6% afirmaram n\u00e3o saber ou preferiram n\u00e3o responder<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-start=\"585\" data-end=\"867\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10pt;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #808080; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">= continua ap\u00f3s a publicidade =<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"63534-1\"><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/gen.js?type=1\"><\/script><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/requestform.js?siteId=63534&amp;formatId=1\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word light markdown-new-styling\">\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1p7ofx8\" data-start=\"826\" data-end=\"854\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Outros cen\u00e1rios simulados<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"856\" data-end=\"937\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">O instituto tamb\u00e9m testou cen\u00e1rios com outros poss\u00edveis candidatos \u00e0 Presid\u00eancia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"939\" data-end=\"1088\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Quando o nome inclu\u00eddo \u00e9 o do governador do Rio Grande do Sul, <strong data-start=\"1002\" data-end=\"1019\">Eduardo Leite<\/strong>, que aparece com <strong data-start=\"1037\" data-end=\"1065\">5% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto<\/strong>, o cen\u00e1rio fica assim:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1092\" data-end=\"1119\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1092\" data-end=\"1113\">Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro:<\/strong> 39%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1122\" data-end=\"1137\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1122\" data-end=\"1131\">Lula:<\/strong> 35%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1140\" data-end=\"1163\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1140\" data-end=\"1158\">Eduardo Leite:<\/strong> 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1166\" data-end=\"1184\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1166\" data-end=\"1181\">Romeu Zema:<\/strong> 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1186\" data-end=\"1289\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Em outra simula\u00e7\u00e3o, com o governador de Goi\u00e1s, <strong data-start=\"1233\" data-end=\"1251\">Ronaldo Caiado<\/strong>, que registra <strong data-start=\"1266\" data-end=\"1272\">6%<\/strong>, os n\u00fameros s\u00e3o:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1293\" data-end=\"1320\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1293\" data-end=\"1314\">Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro:<\/strong> 39%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1323\" data-end=\"1338\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1323\" data-end=\"1332\">Lula:<\/strong> 35%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1341\" data-end=\"1365\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1341\" data-end=\"1360\">Ronaldo Caiado:<\/strong> 6%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1368\" data-end=\"1386\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1368\" data-end=\"1383\">Romeu Zema:<\/strong> 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"yz17on\" data-start=\"1388\" data-end=\"1419\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o entre os candidatos<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1421\" data-end=\"1517\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">A pesquisa tamb\u00e9m mediu o \u00edndice de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o dos nomes testados entre os eleitores de S\u00e3o Paulo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1519\" data-end=\"1635\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Nesse cen\u00e1rio, <strong data-start=\"1534\" data-end=\"1571\">Lula aparece com a maior rejei\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong>, com <strong data-start=\"1577\" data-end=\"1634\">49% dos entrevistados afirmando que n\u00e3o votariam nele<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1637\" data-end=\"1659\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Na sequ\u00eancia aparecem:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1663\" data-end=\"1690\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1663\" data-end=\"1684\">Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro:<\/strong> 45%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1693\" data-end=\"1717\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1693\" data-end=\"1711\">Eduardo Leite:<\/strong> 26%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1720\" data-end=\"1745\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1720\" data-end=\"1739\">Ronaldo Caiado:<\/strong> 25%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1748\" data-end=\"1773\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1748\" data-end=\"1767\">Ratinho J\u00fanior:<\/strong> 24%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1776\" data-end=\"1795\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1776\" data-end=\"1791\">Romeu Zema:<\/strong> 23%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1jeg8y3\" data-start=\"1797\" data-end=\"1825\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do governo Lula<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1827\" data-end=\"1920\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">O levantamento tamb\u00e9m perguntou aos eleitores paulistas sobre a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do governo federal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1922\" data-end=\"2031\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Segundo os dados, <strong data-start=\"1940\" data-end=\"1986\">56% desaprovam a gest\u00e3o do presidente Lula<\/strong>, enquanto <strong data-start=\"1997\" data-end=\"2030\">40% afirmam aprovar o governo<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"ggxbxo\" data-start=\"2033\" data-end=\"2061\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Como foi feita a pesquisa<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2063\" data-end=\"2187\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">A pesquisa do <strong data-start=\"2077\" data-end=\"2098\">Realtime\/Big Data<\/strong> est\u00e1 registrada no <strong data-start=\"2118\" data-end=\"2155\">Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)<\/strong> sob o n\u00famero <strong data-start=\"2169\" data-end=\"2186\">BR-01902\/2026<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2189\" data-end=\"2387\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Foram ouvidos <strong data-start=\"2203\" data-end=\"2274\">2.000 eleitores no estado de S\u00e3o Paulo entre os dias 6 e 7 de mar\u00e7o<\/strong>.<\/span><br data-start=\"2275\" data-end=\"2278\" \/><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">A margem de erro \u00e9 de <strong data-start=\"2300\" data-end=\"2351\">dois pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos<\/strong>, com <strong data-start=\"2357\" data-end=\"2386\">n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"822\" data-end=\"1009\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u270d\ufe0f <em data-start=\"1160\" data-end=\"1198\" data-is-last-node=\"\">Reportagem: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jornalistatonioliveiraon\/\"><strong>Jornalista Toni Oliveira<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1490\" data-end=\"1675\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\ud83d\udcf2\u00a0Fa\u00e7a uma den\u00fancia ou sugira uma reportagem sobre Pirassunungae regi\u00e3o por meio do WhatsApp do jornal <strong>O Movimento: <a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/5519982506789\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/5516991499787\">(19) 98250-6789<\/a>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #808080; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em>Jorna<strong>l O Movimento<\/strong> \u00a0H\u00e1 91 anos, a principal refer\u00eancia em jornalismo na regi\u00e3o<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em>( Fica proibida a reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o total ou parcial, c\u00f3pia ou distribui\u00e7\u00e3o do conte\u00fado, sem autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o expressa por parte do <strong>jornal O Movimento<\/strong>)<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/gen.js?type=16\"><\/script><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"63534-16\" class=\"outbrain-tm\"><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/gen.js?type=16\"><\/script><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/requestform.js?siteId=63534&amp;formatId=16\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"baseurl\" value=\"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"audio_nonce\" value=\"e1f53ee08e\">","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uma pesquisa do instituto Realtime Big Data, divulgada nesta segunda-feira (9), mostra o senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro \u00e0 frente nas inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para uma eventual elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15760,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,31,69],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cotidiano","category-destaque","category-noticias"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15759"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15764,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15759\/revisions\/15764"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}