{"id":15730,"date":"2026-03-08T20:21:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T20:21:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/?p=15730"},"modified":"2026-03-08T20:21:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T20:21:28","slug":"datafolha-tarcisio-lidera-todos-os-cenarios-para-o-governo-de-sp-no-1o-e-no-2o-turno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/datafolha-tarcisio-lidera-todos-os-cenarios-para-o-governo-de-sp-no-1o-e-no-2o-turno\/","title":{"rendered":"Datafolha: Tarc\u00edsio lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios para o governo de SP no 1\u00ba e no 2\u00ba turno"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"80\" data-end=\"349\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Pesquisa do <strong data-start=\"92\" data-end=\"105\">Datafolha<\/strong> divulgada neste domingo (8) pela <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Folha de S.Paulo<\/span><\/span> mostra que o governador <strong data-start=\"201\" data-end=\"239\">Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas (Republicanos)<\/strong> aparece <strong data-start=\"248\" data-end=\"284\">na frente em todas as simula\u00e7\u00f5es<\/strong> para o governo do <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">S\u00e3o Paulo<\/span><\/span> em 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"80\" data-end=\"349\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\ud83d\udcf1 <em>Siga o O Movimento no <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/jornalomovimento\/\">Instagram<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"351\" data-end=\"507\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Nos cen\u00e1rios de primeiro turno, Tarc\u00edsio tem <strong data-start=\"396\" data-end=\"440\">sempre mais de 40% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto<\/strong> e mant\u00e9m vantagem consistente sobre todos os advers\u00e1rios testados.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"509\" data-end=\"852\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">O presidente <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/span><\/span> ainda n\u00e3o definiu quem disputar\u00e1 o <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Pal\u00e1cio dos Bandeirantes<\/span><\/span> pelo campo governista. S\u00e3o cotados o ministro da Fazenda <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Fernando Haddad<\/span><\/span>, o vice-presidente <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Geraldo Alckmin<\/span><\/span> e a ministra do Planejamento <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Simone Tebet<\/span><\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-start=\"585\" data-end=\"867\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10pt;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #808080; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">= continua ap\u00f3s a publicidade =<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"63534-1\"><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/gen.js?type=1\"><\/script><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/requestform.js?siteId=63534&amp;formatId=1\"><\/script><\/div>\n<p data-start=\"854\" data-end=\"957\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">No segundo turno, o governador tamb\u00e9m venceria todos os confrontos, com desempenho entre <strong data-start=\"943\" data-end=\"956\">50% e 58%<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"959\" data-end=\"1104\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">A pesquisa ouviu <strong data-start=\"976\" data-end=\"995\">1.608 eleitores<\/strong> em 71 munic\u00edpios, entre os dias 3 e 5. A margem de erro \u00e9 de <strong data-start=\"1057\" data-end=\"1081\">2 pontos percentuais<\/strong>, com confian\u00e7a de 95%.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1106\" data-end=\"1109\" \/>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1uvkoz\" data-start=\"1111\" data-end=\"1129\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Primeiro turno<\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1131\" data-end=\"1154\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1131\" data-end=\"1152\">Tarc\u00edsio x Haddad<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1157\" data-end=\"1216\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tarc\u00edsio (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Republicanos<\/span><\/span>): <strong data-start=\"1207\" data-end=\"1214\">44%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1219\" data-end=\"1272\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Haddad (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Partido dos Trabalhadores<\/span><\/span>): 31%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1275\" data-end=\"1360\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Kim Kataguiri<\/span><\/span> (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Miss\u00e3o<\/span><\/span>): 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1363\" data-end=\"1450\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Paulo Serra<\/span><\/span> (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">PSDB<\/span><\/span>): 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1453\" data-end=\"1540\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Felipe D&#8217;Avila<\/span><\/span> (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Novo<\/span><\/span>): 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1543\" data-end=\"1568\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 11%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1571\" data-end=\"1584\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">N\u00e3o sabem: 1%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1586\" data-end=\"1610\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1586\" data-end=\"1608\">Tarc\u00edsio x Alckmin<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1613\" data-end=\"1632\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tarc\u00edsio: <strong data-start=\"1623\" data-end=\"1630\">46%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1635\" data-end=\"1691\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Alckmin (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">PSB<\/span><\/span>): 26%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1694\" data-end=\"1711\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Paulo Serra: 6%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1714\" data-end=\"1733\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Kim Kataguiri: 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1736\" data-end=\"1756\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Felipe D&#8217;Avila: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1759\" data-end=\"1784\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 13%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1787\" data-end=\"1800\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">N\u00e3o sabem: 2%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1802\" data-end=\"1824\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"1802\" data-end=\"1822\">Tarc\u00edsio x Tebet<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1827\" data-end=\"1846\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tarc\u00edsio: <strong data-start=\"1837\" data-end=\"1844\">49%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1849\" data-end=\"1903\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tebet (<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">MDB<\/span><\/span>): 19%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1906\" data-end=\"1923\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Paulo Serra: 7%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1926\" data-end=\"1945\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Kim Kataguiri: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1948\" data-end=\"1968\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Felipe D&#8217;Avila: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1971\" data-end=\"1996\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 15%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1999\" data-end=\"2012\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">N\u00e3o sabem: 2%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2014\" data-end=\"2046\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"2014\" data-end=\"2044\">Tarc\u00edsio x Fran\u00e7a x Haddad<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"2049\" data-end=\"2068\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tarc\u00edsio: <strong data-start=\"2059\" data-end=\"2066\">44%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2071\" data-end=\"2084\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Haddad: 28%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2087\" data-end=\"2132\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">M\u00e1rcio Fran\u00e7a<\/span><\/span>: 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2135\" data-end=\"2154\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Kim Kataguiri: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2157\" data-end=\"2174\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Paulo Serra: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2177\" data-end=\"2197\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Felipe D&#8217;Avila: 2%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2200\" data-end=\"2225\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 11%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2228\" data-end=\"2241\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">N\u00e3o sabem: 1%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr data-start=\"2243\" data-end=\"2246\" \/>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"9a0fn9\" data-start=\"2248\" data-end=\"2265\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Segundo turno<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"2269\" data-end=\"2303\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"2269\" data-end=\"2291\">Tarc\u00edsio x Haddad:<\/strong> 52% a 37%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2306\" data-end=\"2341\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"2306\" data-end=\"2329\">Tarc\u00edsio x Alckmin:<\/strong> 50% a 39%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2344\" data-end=\"2375\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong data-start=\"2344\" data-end=\"2365\">Tarc\u00edsio x Tebet:<\/strong> 58% a 28%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2377\" data-end=\"2439\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Brancos e nulos variam de 10% a 12%. Indecisos v\u00e3o de 1% a 2%.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"2441\" data-end=\"2444\" \/>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1lxd2t8\" data-start=\"2446\" data-end=\"2458\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"2462\" data-end=\"2479\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Haddad: <strong data-start=\"2470\" data-end=\"2477\">38%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2482\" data-end=\"2496\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Alckmin: 29%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2499\" data-end=\"2511\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tebet: 27%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2514\" data-end=\"2534\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Kim Kataguiri: 25%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2537\" data-end=\"2552\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Tarc\u00edsio: 24%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2555\" data-end=\"2575\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">M\u00e1rcio Fran\u00e7a: 20%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2578\" data-end=\"2596\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Paulo Serra: 19%<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2599\" data-end=\"2618\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Felipe D&#8217;Avila: 18%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2620\" data-end=\"2706\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Outros 3% dizem votar em qualquer nome, 3% rejeitam todos e 3% n\u00e3o souberam responder.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"822\" data-end=\"1009\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u270d\ufe0f <em data-start=\"1160\" data-end=\"1198\" data-is-last-node=\"\">Reportagem: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jornalistatonioliveiraon\/\"><strong>Jornalista Toni Oliveira<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1490\" data-end=\"1675\"><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\ud83d\udcf2\u00a0Fa\u00e7a uma den\u00fancia ou sugira uma reportagem sobre Pirassunungae regi\u00e3o por meio do WhatsApp do jornal <strong>O Movimento: <a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/5519982506789\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/5516991499787\">(19) 98250-6789<\/a>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #808080; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em>Jorna<strong>l O Movimento<\/strong> \u00a0H\u00e1 91 anos, a principal refer\u00eancia em jornalismo na regi\u00e3o<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em>( Fica proibida a reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o total ou parcial, c\u00f3pia ou distribui\u00e7\u00e3o do conte\u00fado, sem autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o expressa por parte do <strong>jornal O Movimento<\/strong>)<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/gen.js?type=16\"><\/script><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"63534-16\" class=\"outbrain-tm\"><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/gen.js?type=16\"><\/script><script src=\"\/\/ads.themoneytizer.com\/s\/requestform.js?siteId=63534&amp;formatId=16\"><\/script><\/div>\n<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"baseurl\" value=\"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"audio_nonce\" value=\"c3fc4dfce7\">","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisa do Datafolha divulgada neste domingo (8) pela Folha de S.Paulo mostra que o governador Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas (Republicanos) aparece na frente em todas as simula\u00e7\u00f5es para&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15731,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,69],"tags":[1117,1119,1118],"class_list":["post-15730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaque","category-noticias","tag-datafolha","tag-eleicoes-de-2026","tag-tarcisio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15730"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15730\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15732,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15730\/revisions\/15732"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.omovimento.com.br\/jornal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}